MLB Props for Monday, September 28, 2026

Carson Kelly Runs Prop

CHC vs SDP · Line: 0.5 · 26 sportsbooks

Carson Kelly's runs line is set at 0.5 across 26 sportsbooks, leaning under. Here's the data.

0.5

Line

Best Play

Under

Direction

Sportsbooks

Prop Summary

Hit Rate

70%

of recent games under

Fair Prob

72%

chance to hit under

Expected Value

-1.6%

negative edge

Under 28%Over 72%

Smart money: UNDER

Best Line Available

underdog

0.5

-269

↓ Under

Line Comparison Across Sportsbooks

Showing 26 of 26 sportsbooks

Runs Lines Across Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	Line	Odds
underdogBEST	0.5	-269
draftkings	0.5	-275
hardrockbet	0.5	-275
betmgm	0.5	-278

borgata	0.5	—
bwin	0.5	—
sportsinteraction	0.5	—

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Carson Kelly Runs Stats & Trends

Season Averages — Runs

Season Avg

-0.5 below line

Season High

best performance

Season Low

lowest output

Games

126

median: 0

Consistency Range0 – 0

▲ Line (0.5)

Hit Rate — Over 0.5 Runs

Over the Line

0 of 126 games

Streak: 10 game miss streak

Line: 0.5

Recent Game Log — Runs

Last 10 games

Date	Opp	O/U
2026-09-25	BOS	✗
2026-09-24	MIA	✗
2026-09-23	MIA	✗
2026-09-22	MIA	✗
2026-09-19	CIN	✗
2026-09-18	CIN	✗
2026-09-16	ATL	✗
2026-09-15	ATL	✗
2026-09-14	ATL	✗
2026-09-13	PIT	✗

Avg: 0Over: 0Under: 10

Recent Game History

Carson Kelly — Runs (Last 10 Games)

Over (3)Under (7)

Avg: 0.4

Line: 0.5

Hit Rate: 70%

Lean: under

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FAQ

What is Carson Kelly's runs line today?

Carson Kelly's runs line is set at 0.5 across 26 sportsbooks. The Best Play Score rates this as B (72/100).

How many sportsbooks offer Carson Kelly's runs prop?

Currently 26 sportsbooks have this prop listed. PropCruncher compares all of them in real-time to help you find the best line.

Should I bet the over or under on Carson Kelly's runs?

PropCruncher's analysis currently favors the under based on cross-sportsbook consensus, historical trends, and expected value calculations. Always do your own research and bet responsibly.