MLB Props for Wednesday, September 16, 2026

Pavin Smith Runs Prop Today

ARI vs MIA · Line: 0.5 · 16 sportsbooks

Pavin Smith's runs line is set at 0.5 across 16 sportsbooks, leaning under. Here's the data.

0.5

Line

Score: 89

Under

Direction

Sportsbooks

Prop Summary

Projection

0.4

-0.1 under line

Hit Rate

80%

of recent games under

Fair Prob

65%

chance to hit under

Expected Value

-2.2%

negative edge

Under 35%Over 65%

Smart money: UNDER

Best Line Available

betmgm

0.5

-200

↓ Under

Line Comparison Across Sportsbooks

Showing 16 of 16 sportsbooks

Runs Lines Across Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	Line	Odds
betmgmBEST	0.5	-200
borgata	0.5	-200
hardrockbet	0.5	-220
underdog	0.5	-230

prophetx	0.5	—
dexsport	0.5	—
draftkings	0.5	—

Unlock the rest of the books

Pavin Smith Runs Stats & Trends

Season Averages — Runs

Season Avg

-0.5 below line

Season High

best performance

Season Low

lowest output

Games

median: 0

Consistency Range0 – 0

▲ Line (0.5)

Hit Rate — Over 0.5 Runs

Over the Line

0 of 35 games

Streak: 10 game miss streak

Line: 0.5

Recent Game Log — Runs

Last 10 games

Date	Opp	O/U
2026-09-15	MIA	✗
2026-09-13	TEX	✗
2026-07-09	SD	✗
2026-07-08	SD	✗
2026-07-07	SD	✗
2026-07-05	MIL	✗
2026-07-02	SF	✗
2026-07-01	SF	✗
2026-06-30	SF	✗
2026-06-28	TB	✗

Avg: 0Over: 0Under: 10

Recent Game History

Pavin Smith — Runs (Last 10 Games)

Over (2)Under (8)

Avg: 0.2

Line: 0.5

Hit Rate: 80%

Lean: under

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ARI

Score: 95

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FAQ

What is Pavin Smith's runs line today?

Pavin Smith's runs line is set at 0.5 across 16 sportsbooks. The Best Play Score rates this as S (89/100).

How many sportsbooks offer Pavin Smith's runs prop?

Currently 16 sportsbooks have this prop listed. PropCruncher compares all of them in real-time to help you find the best line.

Should I bet the over or under on Pavin Smith's runs?

PropCruncher's analysis currently favors the under based on cross-sportsbook consensus, historical trends, and expected value calculations. Always do your own research and bet responsibly.